Blink and You’ll Miss It
I’m back. I’m hungry. And I’m keeping my head
I hate waiting. but I am getting better. If you’ve been reading this blog for a while you’ll know that trading is one of the few things in life, I love doing — and sitting on my hands while the market does its thing is a special kind of torture. But here’s the thing: I knew it was the right call. Capital preservation isn’t glamorous. It doesn’t make great content. Nobody clicks on “I did nothing again this week.”
So, what have I been doing? Working, mostly. I’m a skilled tradesman — and an HGV Class One driver. When the charts aren’t giving me what I need, I’ve got other ways to keep the wheels turning. Literally. It’s kept me grounded, kept the bills paid, and — honestly — kept me away from making stupid decisions just because I was bored and itching for a trade.
But now? Now I’m back at the screens properly. And the market has woken up.
Trends have appeared — fast, clean, strong trends — in both the US and UK markets. The kind of setups I’ve been waiting months for. I’m looking for strong companies, in strong sectors, with strong momentum. And I’m finding them. I’ve already started building positions, and over the next few days I’m going to break each one down properly for you — the fundamentals, the chart, the risk. If you don’t want to miss those, like and subscribe. Seriously. This is the start of something.
The Roll Call
Here’s where I’m positioned right now. Some of these are adds to existing positions. Some are fresh entries. I’m not going deep on any of them today — that’s what the next few posts are for — but I want you to have the full picture of what I’m working with.
US markets: Netflix, Palantir, AMD, Stride, Google, Microsoft
UK markets: Gulf Marine Services, Anpario
Still holding: Spero Therapeutics — that one’s a longer story for another day.
Each of these will get its own breakdown. Charts, valuation, why I’m in, where my stop is, what I’m risking. That’s the process. Watch this space.
The Reset Button — How the Crowd Forgets Everything
Before I get into the current excitement in the market, I want to talk about something that I think is one of the most important things a new trader or investor can understand. Because if you don’t get this, you will get caught out. Repeatedly.
The crowd has a terrible memory.
Think about COVID in early 2020. Markets collapsed — one of the fastest crashes in history. Pure panic. The world was ending. And then, fairly quickly in the grand scheme of things, something shifted. Vaccines were coming. Restrictions were lifting. And suddenly the crowd wasn’t thinking about the virus anymore — they were thinking about the reopening trade, about stimulus money, about getting back to normal. The fear got replaced. Not because the problems went away overnight, but because something came along that felt bigger, more immediate, more exciting.
That’s the reset button. It happens in every major black swan event. Wars, pandemics, financial crises — they all follow a similar psychological pattern. The crowd gets hit by something terrifying. Sentiment collapses. And then, at some point, something happens that feels like a resolution — even if it’s only a partial one, even if all the original problems are still lurking in the background — and the crowd pivots. Hard.
It doesn’t need to be a full fix. It just needs to be something slightly less bad than what came before. That’s enough. The crowd’s anxiety levels drop, the risk appetite comes flooding back, and suddenly everyone’s buying again.
Then comes FOMO. Because once the market starts moving up and the green candles start stacking, the people who sat out start panicking that they’re missing the rally. They pile in. That buying pressure pushes prices higher. Which brings in more buyers. Which pushes prices higher still. It’s a self-reinforcing loop — excitement breeds excitement, and before long the crowd has completely forgotten what they were worried about six months ago.
And here’s the bit that really matters for your development as a trader or investor: in a rising market, bearish news gets buried. The headlines that would have sent markets tumbling six months ago get a paragraph on page four. Nobody’s interested. Flip it around — in a falling market, every bit of negative news gets amplified. It’s front page, it’s breaking news, it’s the end of days. The news doesn’t change that much. The crowd’s willingness to focus on it does.
This is crowd psychology in action. And right now, we’re watching it happen in real time.
The Orange Messiah and the AI Utopia
The sector rotation over the last few weeks has been dramatic. Not long ago, utilities and energy were the safe havens — boring, defensive, everyone piling in because nobody trusted the growth names. Now? The market has collectively decided that all the hype stocks were absurdly cheap and it’s time to pile back in.
The reason, as far as I can tell. There’s a chance — just a chance, mind — that the Orange Messiah is about to broker the deal of the century. Iran negotiations. Whispers of peace. The geopolitical noise that’s been rattling markets might, possibly, maybe, start to fade.
And that’s enough. That’s all it takes. The reset button has been pressed. The crowd has decided: world peace is coming, we can all get back to the AI arms race, and the stock market is going to break through to new all-time highs with absolutely zero turbulence.
The utopia trade is back on.
Now — I’m positioned for this move. I’m not standing on the side lines moaning about it. But I’m not getting swept up in the hysteria either. Because I’ve seen this before. And I remember what we were all worrying about before the geopolitical stuff gave the crowd something new to obsess over.
The Problems Nobody’s Talking About Anymore
Let me remind you, because the headlines have moved on even if the fundamentals haven’t.
Inflation. It came down from the peaks, yes. But it hasn’t gone away. The last mile is always the hardest, and central banks know it. We’re not back to target. We’re just not panicking about it right now because the headlines are elsewhere.
Interest rates. The cuts have been slow, cautious, and nowhere near as aggressive as the market was pricing in eighteen months ago. Rates are still elevated. The cost of borrowing is still high. That hasn’t changed.
The consumer. Credit card debt is rising. Savings are being drawn down. Mortgage stress is real in both the UK and US. Consumer spending — the engine of both economies — is softening in places that matter. You don’t feel it in the stock market yet, but it’s there if you look for it.
AI valuations and the bubble question. The AI buildout is real. The infrastructure spending is genuinely enormous. But some of these companies are priced for a perfect future that may or may not arrive on the timeline the market is assuming. The AI spending cycle must translate into revenues and earnings at some point — and that reckoning will come. Whether it’s a bubble, and when it might pop, is the question nobody in the bull camp wants to sit with right now. With green candles comes ignorance. I’ve said it before and I’ll keep saying it.
None of this has gone away. It’s just been buried by the headlines. That’s the market in a nutshell — short memory, high emotion, always looking for the next story.
Excited. Not Reckless.
So where does that leave me?
I’m hungry for this. The positions are building, the watchlist is expanding fast — honestly, so many of the names I’m watching have already moved so hard that I’m waiting for a pullback before I’ll enter. That’s the discipline. You don’t chase. You prepare, you wait, you enter on your terms.
But I’m keeping my cool. Because I know — and you should know — that this market is one Truth Social post away from a completely different conversation. One bomb. One breakdown in negotiations. One piece of macro data that lands wrong. And we’re back to the fear trade.
That’s not doom-saying. That’s just reality. And it’s exactly why risk management isn’t optional — it’s the whole game. Stop losses. Position sizing. Never risking more than I can afford to lose on any single trade. That’s the framework that lets me be excited without being reckless.
I lost money in 2020 chasing dead cat bounces because I didn’t have that framework. I know what it feels like to let excitement override process. I’m not doing that again.
So — I’m back. I’m in the market. I’m watching the trends, I’m building the positions, and over the next few days I’m going to walk you through every single one. The why, the how, the risk, the numbers.
If you’re not already following, now’s a good time to start.
Eyes open.
What’s Coming
Over the next few days I’m going to break each of these positions down one by one. Every post will cover the same ground:
- Why I’m interested in the company
- What the fundamentals and valuation look like
- What the chart is telling me
- Where my entry is, where my stop is, and what I’m actually risking
No fluff. No vague “this looks interesting” nonsense. Real numbers, real levels, real risk.
If you want to follow along, hit subscribe. This is the start of a series and you don’t want to be jumping in halfway through.
